Ep 281. - The Rise of the East and the Setting of the West | Dr Muhammad al-Mukhtar al-Shinqiti

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This week on The Thinking Muslim, we have a fascinating interview with Muhammad al-Mukhtar al-Shinqiti. He argues that as the West declines, the East is rising, and the Muslim world, despite all its challenges, can be at the centre of events.

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Transcript - This is an automated transcript and may not reflect the actual conversation

Introduction

0:00

This week on the thinking Muslim, we have a  fascinating interview with Muhammad al- Mktar   al- Shiniti, professor of international affairs  at Qatar University. He argues that as the west  

0:10

declines, the east is rising and the Muslim world  despite all its challenges can be at the center  

0:16

of events. I know that this is what China wishes  for. This is what Putin wished for. We've reached  

0:23

the point in world history where there's no going  back. The Russia is like a hurricane and China is  

0:28

like a global warning. When I see what Trump is  doing in Venezuela, the foreign hand is still  

0:35

very heavy. Americans have to accept that they  are part of the past. They are history. That's   what I call the rise of the east and the setting  of the west. Do you think that's why Israel is  

0:44

so important to America? Do you think that uh  Trump has given up on that? Probably Trump is

0:55

Dr. Muhammad Mkhtar al- Shinitilaykumah and  welcome to the thinking Muslim. Thank you  

1:02

all for having me. What I'm really excited for  today's conversation because it's a conversation  

1:08

a discussion that's quite close to to me and  actually many of my viewers on the thinking   Muslim because of course often when we think about  the world we forget about the context within which  

1:19

we live and and so we work in our silos. We  conduct da'wah, we conduct Quran studies, we  

1:26

conduct business, we conduct trade and commerce.  Uh but as a Muslim um we sometimes forget the uh  

1:33

the geopolitics that surrounds us. And so many  of many time I think our work does not fit within  

1:41

uh a a broader context, a broader political  context. And I know off camera we spoke about  

1:46

how important it is that Muslims as they educate  themselves with Islam with the world they really  

1:53

get have an intimate knowledge of the world around  us. So today inshallah tala we have really an  

1:59

expert I think uh on this subject of geopolitics  to try to uh give us uh the those details that  

2:06

we really need for us to be confident about how we  should proceed uh inshallah tala in these next few  

2:13

decades because I think it's fair to say the next  few decades are going to be quite totious quite  

2:19

catastrophic in a way and there's a lot of choppy  waters out there and we've got to navigate that   so we hope you can help us navigate that hopefully  Not catastrophic. Not catastrophic. Possibly not.  

2:29

Well, let's start actually with uh a a fundamental  speech that was given almost a I think in his I  

2:35

think I'm right in saying in the history books  uh this speech will probably go down as the  

2:40

point at which much of the west woke up to what  is actually taking place in the world and that's  

2:47

a speech by Mark Carney which was delivered as  of today which was delivered last week at Davos.  

2:53

uh and this is the world economic forum where  the great and the good of the economic world as  

2:58

well as the political world come together and  discuss and Mark Carney gave this speech where   he declared that we're not just going through  a transition we're actually going through a  

Is the World Going Through a Rupture?

3:08

rupture is that how you read the world today well  that's uh thank you again I think his speech is a  

3:18

it's an indicator of some kind of rift at least  within the the Atlantic block. Mhm. So, uh it's  

3:31

the Atlantic block is very important block within  the world that we knew since World War II. Uh it  

3:40

was very very important part of this equation,  the global equation. uh Atlantism or Atlanticism  

3:51

uh as a ideology and as a strategic unity looks  like it's witnessing now some some rift uh is  

4:02

that temporary uh phenomenon or something deep  I don't know yet I know that this is what China  

4:12

wishes for this is what Putin wished for this kind  of split the two coast of the Atlantic. Probably  

4:20

Trump is giving them what they wish for for a long  time. Yeah. Uh but how far that will last and uh  

4:29

how what are the implication for the I think it's  too early to to say. Do you think that uh Trump  

4:37

has given up on that post World War II order that  the Americans have established? Has he completely  

4:44

ruptured from that order? I I think so. I feel  Yes. I I believe Trump is reviving, if we can say,  

4:52

he's he's reviving uh moral doctrine, somehow, you  know, President Moro, the fifth president of the  

5:01

United States. Yeah. When he decided to push all  of the European powers outside Yeah. the Western  

5:07

Hemisphere. When I see what Trump is doing in  Venezuela and you connected his rhetoric about  

5:14

Canada, about Greenland, uh, all of this together  and America first, you feel as if the 19th century  

5:24

moral doctrine is coming back. Uh, which means  that the United States is withdrawing basically  

5:32

from the global scene slowly. Yeah, maybe they are  not saying it explicitly, but I think that's what  

5:38

Trump is trying to do. And I think he has also  social base for this. Um, within the social base  

5:46

of the Republican party, the American right, I  think there are many people who went to America to  

5:55

just to avoid this headache. Yeah, this is an old  doctrine within the American political culture.  

6:02

Uh people who believe in this their their view  is based on we live in a country that is well  

6:11

protected between two oceans and from the east  and west and we have these nice weak neighbors  

6:20

the south and and the north. So why should we  bother what's going on in Europe or in Middle East  

6:29

or in Asia etc. I think this kind of discourse is  gaining ground in the United States today. I mean,  

6:38

Dr. Shankit, do you think the postworld war post  World War II order that was created was actually  

6:45

an order based on a folly based on a mistake?  Um, I'm reminded of um the criticism of of John  

Is Global Hegemony Possible

6:53

Mshimer, Professor Mshimer, who argues that it's  impossible really to be a global hedgeiment. Yet  

6:59

America tried to be that global hedgeim and in in  one sense in a sense that stretch that overstretch  

7:08

uh is what America is trying to face up to today.  I mean is that something you subscribe to that it   was a mistake for to try to overachieve when it  came to the extent to which it could it could  

7:20

uh be all powerful in all of the continents of the  earth. Maybe maybe that's right. uh what uh what  

7:27

MV himself called the uniolarity moment uh I think  it's not it's not normal even in Islamic faith  

7:36

we believe that allahel created this universe on  balance and balance is is important in everything  

7:43

right and it's not normal to have one global power  dominating uh everything if that's happened short  

7:53

period of time maybe 30 that's that's fine since  the end of the Soviet Union till let's say the  

8:00

invasion of Iraq but that's not the normal uh  circumstances and I think just things are going  

8:10

back to normal multipolarity should be the normal  circumstances and I think also it's it will create  

8:18

more peace the more balance we have the better  because that that uniolarity moment was very  

8:27

dangerous for the world and I think also people  in the Islamic world pay very heavy price in that  

8:34

moment whether the invasion of Iraq or Afghanistan  or uh what's happened happening in Palestine and  

8:42

many other places right okay um what then ever  happened to Francis Fukyama's moment when he said  

8:50

we've reached I think in 1989 when the Berlin wall  was was going down. He said, "We've reached uh the  

8:57

point in world history where there's no going  back. Uh we now have the end of history. Uh and  

9:03

in in the future, debates are going to be minor  between countries. Uh because everyone has and  

9:09

will embrace democracy and free market capitalism.  That world does not seem to be the world we live  

9:16

in today. And certainly we can't see that world  in the next 10 or 20 years." Whatever happened to  

9:22

Fukyama's dream? Fukama's dream was not consistent  taken into account that he he claimed he based his  

9:29

dream on philosophy of history of Hegel. Hegel.  Yeah. And I don't think I don't think he got Hegel  

9:37

right or or he didn't want to guess right. Uh  because Hegel himself actually believed that life  

9:45

is based on clash and and what in his terminology  slaves are the one who move history not the  

9:53

masters. But history basically is a conflict  between slaves and masters or those who have those  

9:59

who have not. if we talk about in a different  language. Um I I think um he was too optimistic.  

10:09

Um and uh you know in that moment of the end  of the Soviet Union you find that that kind of  

10:18

thinking it looks like just a wishful thinking. I  I don't think uh because there are many people who  

10:25

are not that his dream is is is based on some kind  of self satisfaction everywhere and actually the  

10:35

majority of human beings are not satisfied with  their position. The majority of nations are not   satisfied with their position in the world system.  And uh I I think u it was just wishful thinking.  

10:49

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12:49

Donald Trump said something very profound in one  of his speeches where he said that's not usual.  

12:54

That's not normal. He said that we allowed China  to rise. We gave China access to the World Trade  

Did the US allow China to Rise?

13:01

Organization. So they had preferential trade  with the rest of of the world. We gave China  

13:06

we wanted China to liberalize economically and by  liberalizing economically China will become like  

13:13

us and aspire to be like us but will live within  our global hierarchy. Was Donald Trump being  

13:20

extremely profound there? Well, I think he what  he didn't talk about is more important which is  

13:27

what was the motivation when they allowed China  for example to join these institutions. Yeah.  

13:34

Because they believe with with economic prosperity  the Chinese political system will not sustain will  

13:43

not stay as it is. Yeah. And China actually is a  is really phenomenon. I mean when I I I I remember  

13:52

even Fukyama in his big book on the on the fun  fundaments of political thought or something  

13:58

like that. I read it in the Arabic translation.  Yeah. uh at the end of the book he said, "Oh,  

14:04

with all of our uh u optimism about democracy,  China is still a real challenge because it's a  

14:14

political dictatorship, but it's very efficient,  very successful." Mhm. economically and we never  

14:24

predict something like that. M so I think yeah the  motivation behind trying to include China was to  

14:33

impact the Chinese political system which didn't  happen and I think uh Chinese are smart or they  

14:42

they outsmarted the Americans and the westerners  in general not only this not only the first time  

14:48

but when also Kissinger and Nixon tried to play  China against Soviet Union China benefited from  

14:55

that I believe more than the Americans themselves.  Yeah. And uh I'm kind of interested in the Chinese  

15:02

strategic thinking and and actually I'm  translating the book of Sansu into Arabic   now and I wrote an article about him. Yeah. And  I feel uh they are very deep in their strategic  

15:14

thinking and they can create common space with  others but they always able to outsmart really  

15:22

others especially the Americans. They did it in  the 60s and they are doing it now. Really? So you  

15:28

think China strategically thinks far more deeply  and long term? Yes. Than the Americans do because  

15:35

the Americans are what hampered by their electoral  cycle. the leader with who they elect and some of  

15:43

their leaders could be quite cartoonic in their  in their personalities and their abilities like   does Donald Trump have a strategy today about  geopolitics? Um is that is that what you're  

Chinas Geo-political Strategy

15:54

what you're suggesting that the Chinese system is  deeper and has greater depth of I think Chinese  

16:01

political wisdom is deeper really uh in in their  strategic thinking. Yeah. Um and even one of the  

16:10

American theorist uh he talked about this in a  funny way. He said uh yeah he said Russia is like  

16:17

a hurricane and China is like a global warming  global warming. Yes. It's slow. Yes. Yes. Russia  

16:26

is violent superficial. uh whatever Russians do  it doesn't impact right and will not impact the  

16:35

global system. Chinese are working silently slowly  but they are changing the whole world. That's why  

16:45

he said Russia is like a hurricane. China is like  global warming. Yeah. And I think that's right.  

16:52

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16:58

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18:08

So, so in in that explanation then um uh because  of course when um people like Mshimimer talk  

18:16

about challenges to the west they use usually  put Russia and China together but it seems to  

18:22

me that Russia in some respects is actually quite  superficial as a challenger and it's really China  

18:27

that's a problem and then do you subscribe to I  remember there was a book doing the rounds a few   years ago in in Washington uh Graeme Allison the  fusidities trap is America and China destined for  

Is American and China Destined for War?

18:39

war. I mean, do you subscribe to the idea that war  is inevitable between these two great powers? No,  

18:47

I don't think so. I I think u Mimer understand  China very well. So the metaphor he's using,  

18:53

I think it's too dramatic when he talk about the  Chinese gathering storm. No, I I that probably is  

19:01

is true for Russia more than China. China is not  storm. It's a global war as another American has  

19:07

said. Yeah. The rise of there are there are  several interpretation of the rise of China  

19:14

and its implication in term of relation with the  United States. There are those who believe that  

19:19

war is inevitable like Ellison and uh his book  that you mentioned. Mhm. And and there are people  

19:27

who are just telling the west you have to accept  the inevitable. Yeah. uh China is the leader of  

19:35

the world today and you better just adapt to that  and uh several books of Mahubani that's his main  

19:45

argument in several books he wrote about the rise  of China and there are some people who hope for or  

19:52

try to to theorize some kind of common ground like  Kevin Rod the former prime minister of Australia  

19:59

in his book the avoidable war he believe Yeah,  the war between the two is avoidable. Yeah. They  

20:06

can have some common ground. Yeah. And I think  he's here is reflecting the Australian concern  

20:12

also because Australia culturally for is belongs  to the west geographically belong to Asia. So  

20:21

they they are caught in this crossfire between  uh United States and China. There are several  

20:27

interpretation. Chinese themselves uh I find two  lines of thinking in Chinese writing on these some  

20:34

of them are explicit that we are the new leader  of the world Americans have to accept that and  

20:42

one of them actually wrote a book the China dream  it's like using same terminology as the US and  

20:50

he's saying it explicitly just Americans have  to accept that they are part of the past they  

20:55

are history yeah the Chinese are more diplomatic  and they're trying to say no actually the rise  

21:02

of China is not a threat to anyone. We we just  maybe we can create more balance to the world  

21:09

order but doesn't mean that well this will affect  the importance of the United States or Europe or  

21:16

others. Yeah. So they are speaking in this kind  of diplomatic tone but it hasn't always been very  

21:23

diplomatic. I mean Xi Jinping took over in 2012  and for a period uh Chinese diplomacy went through  

21:30

this quite assertive phase I think they called it  wolf warrior diplomacy named after a famous film  

Changes to Chinese Diplomacy

21:37

uh depicting China in sometime in the future who  ruled the world and uh I remember that uh China's  

21:45

even like embassies uh were sending out these very  strong strongly worded tweets that actually made  

21:51

them sound quite like Russians in a Um, is there a  temptation in China uh to to see and observe their  

22:00

strength today and to speak in a in a different  way? In other words, are we moving away from this   hide and era that we saw for the last three four  decades? Maybe experts in China, some experts in  

22:14

China uh believe that she is diff is different  from other previous leaders like Deng Xiaoing.  

22:22

Yes, exactly. Yeah. Uh Danza Ping for example was  very quiet and what he did you can call it silent  

22:30

revolution. Uh but she is not silent anymore at  least in some some aspect some internal discourse.  

22:39

Uh but I still uh I still believe that Chinese are  quiet. they are uh investing in the uh blunders  

22:50

and the mistakes of the United States. Yeah.  And a friend of mine told me that he met one of  

22:56

the leaders of the communist party a few years  ago and he told him you know who's the man who   served China more than anyone else. He said no.  He said it was because he kept United States busy  

23:09

for 10 years. Yeah. So Chinese are I think are  investing in in the the American mistakes and they  

23:18

they believe time is in their side. So they still  they're still quiet. But I I think they're smart.  

23:24

Yeah. I remember in 2016 during the uh uh the  debates between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump,  

23:32

uh Donald again, Donald Trump said a very  profound thing, I have to say. I mean, he's   not usually as prof. He said, you know, we've been  fighting these useless wars in the Middle East.  

23:40

we spend $3 trillion across these these wars.  We could have rebuilt our country three times  

23:46

over with that amount of money like China has been  doing. And and that's really echoing what you're  

23:51

saying there that you know these uh conflicts  that the neocons encouraged had really wasted  

23:58

America's blood and treasure. Of course they did.  And Trump said many nice things. But is he able to  

24:06

to to translate that into practice? I I doubt  I think there are some Yeah. influence around  

24:13

him. Yeah. Uh maybe his heart is with that that  he want to avoid wasting American money and the  

24:21

blood. Yeah. But uh I think still there are people  who pushing him. For example, the the the the 12  

24:30

days war with Iran. Yeah, I don't believe Trump uh  deliberately wanted to participate in that war and  

24:38

that's why he came he joined late. If it was an  American decision, I think B2 will bomb Iran first  

24:46

because that's how you know logically in military  sense. If you want to attack Iran effectively,  

24:54

the America the American B2 should start the  strategic bombers should start not waiting  

25:00

several days. Iran and Israel fighting each other  and Trump comes just for one night and he said we  

25:06

destroy everything and I I think I feel he was  he was drawn against his will to participate in  

25:13

that. Maybe that's what's happening also now uh  all of this talk about American attack on Iran.  

25:23

Yeah. Imminent attack on Iran. I think I I don't  believe Trump want that. uh but maybe he has he  

25:33

has to do many things he doesn't want that's the  American system right I mean your expertise is in  

25:40

international relations in geopolitics but of  course you also have a very strong Islamic uh  

How Muslims View History

25:47

uh undergard to to to that uh to that discipline I  I'm interested in u how we as Muslims view history  

25:56

if Fukiamama views history as a as the continuum  as a pro as a as a road towards progress, a linear  

26:04

road towards progress. How do we as Muslims  understand um understand power and understand  

26:12

the future of you know of of our I mean there was  a time when the Ottomans used to believe that they  

26:18

will be uh the power the world power until the  day of judgment. Yes. So they seem to have this  

26:23

fukyama philosophy. uh how do we rightfully  view like the Islamic if there is an Islamic  

26:30

uh understanding of of of power and civilizational  sort of conflict. I think all empires maybe all  

26:39

nations who uh who who got the chance to lead uh  a human civilization or to have great empires,  

26:49

you know, are infected with were infected with  with this kind of narcissism and they felt, oh, we  

26:58

are the the right one and we are the the leaders  of the of the world. Yes. and we'll continue like  

27:07

that. That's that's not what actually what  Quran is teaching us in Islamic vision is  

27:13

that human beings are tested with good time and  bad time you know with prosperity and hardship

27:25

that Allah is rotating uh nations and  cyclical. Yes. Yes. There is some kind  

27:33

of cycle and every nation is tested with  time of prosperity and time of hardship,  

27:41

time of victory, time of defeat. Even in the  time prophet, I mean, people didn't win all  

27:47

of the wars during the time prophet. They have  battle but they have one year later. So yeah,  

27:54

uh that's that's normal circumstances and I think  a believer in Islamic faith has to be ready to all  

28:02

of these uh kind of circumstances. Now you've  written a piece uh about geopolitics which I  

28:09

really advise our viewers to read. Uh I think the  English translation is still in draft but the the  

28:15

title is the rise of the east and the setting of  the west the shift of the global powers and the   destinies of the Islamic world. I want to come to  the Islamic world part uh very soon but uh there  

28:27

are two distinct ideas that you talk about in your  article which I need your clarification on. So  

28:35

you talk about how we're not just going through a  geopolitical phase, but actually what we're going  

28:40

through is a civilizational turning point. Can  you unpack that for us? What is a civilizational  

28:46

turning point? Well, let's talk in geopolitics,  geopolitical term first. I think what we see  

28:52

today is it's it's it's kind of revival of the  old dichotomy uh like clash between land powers,  

29:04

great land powers, great sea powers or what  they call also clash between emerging powers  

29:12

and established power. they call it in Arabic  those who are dominant and those who are merging.  

29:23

So the rise of China is creating these kind of  circumstances today. uh if we look at closely  

29:30

to the world to the to the world order today I  think we are witnessing the reemergence of Asia  

29:39

in general or Eurasia uh broadly uh and that's  historically is part of what is called the great  

29:48

land powers the great empire of the past land  empires like the Mongols or China uh uh and uh  

30:00

and we have also the retreat of the maritime power  or sea powers. um that that's what I call the rise  

30:11

of the east and the setting of the west and this  is a expression used beautifully in Arabic by an  

30:18

Egyptian writer I borrowed from an Egyptian writer  who lived early 20th century Hassan used the term

30:29

like the rise of the of the east and the setting  of the west I I think that's we are witnessing  

30:36

these Today China is rising slowly. Asia in  general is uh rising slowly. The west is going  

30:46

down slowly. Not only in term of uh military and  and political means but even socially to feel that  

30:57

kind of decline in social morality for example.  Um and this is impacting everything in our world  

31:05

today. Of course, including the Islam court,  which is uh it's it's in between the two the  

31:14

two power doesn't belong to the great land power  nor the great sea powers. Yeah. Islamic world is  

31:20

in between the two. So the Islamic world, let's  talk about that bit. I think you use the word at   least the translation is shatter belt. you use  the word that uh the Islamic world is neither  

How Islam Occupies an Important Space in the Globe

31:30

east nor west but it's in the in the middle it's  intermediary um and so through geography the  

31:37

Islamic world occupies a really important space um  explain that to me why is because of course when  

31:44

we think about Islamic world today we don't place  it as a consequential actor in this rise of of of  

31:54

global powers you know we talk about America and  China, we talk about Russia. Uh Europe sometimes  

32:00

features there. Maybe some Japan and India  feature. But the Islamic world is isn't regarded  

32:06

to as a instructive power as a consequential set  of powers but rather just powers upon which uh  

32:15

other powers decide their fate. So why do you do  you suggest that the Islamic world is is pretty  

32:22

important because of its geographical? It's  very important in term of potential and also   in term of location or geopolitics. Yeah. Let's  see first if we look in a broad uh way I think  

32:34

uh we have uh we have today four active actors.  Yeah. And we have four passive actor if we can use  

32:44

that term. Okay. On the global arena today. Yeah.  Uh the the active powers are United States, China,  

32:55

uh Russia and the European Union. Good. Yeah. And  the four passive blocks are Islamic world, India,  

33:05

Africa and South America. This is how I see the  world today. I think there are eight blocks and  

33:13

four of them are very active blocks. Others  are more or less passive. The Islamic world  

33:20

is one of these four passive blocks today. But  not that's not because it has to be but that's  

33:27

just the historical circumstances today. Okay.  In term of geopolitics you know every Muslim so  

33:35

know knows that we are in term of belief and value  etc. But I think we are in term of geography also.  

33:45

So we can also have that term in term  term of geopolitics. By what's we mean   central central and middle middle way. Middle  way. Yes. Uh the Islamic word is a is like a  

33:58

transcontinental continent you can say.  uh Islam was born in uh northern in this  

34:06

uh western part of Arabia that's in Asia but  very close to Africa and also close to Europe  

34:14

at the same time which means it was born at  this point of connection between the three  

34:21

continent these three continent Asia, Europe and  Africa are the huge mass of the of the globe.  

34:32

that the Egop politicians call the global island.  The global island is this huge mass that contain  

34:40

Asia, Africa and and uh Europe. The Islamic world  was born there in that point of connection between  

34:47

the three. Yeah. And of course uh in term of  uh the importance strategic importance it's  

34:55

extraordinary. The uh for example in the world  today we have the most important uh street on  

35:04

earth today are eight. Seven of these streets are  inside or almost inside the Islamic world. Yeah.  

35:14

If we count them from west to the east for example  starting with Jabal coming to Danil Bourand

35:25

Hormos Malika these seven the only very important  street that is not in the Islamic world is Panama  

35:35

uh and that's why this region is very important  for all nation all rising nations you you find  

35:42

their eyes on on these on this region historically  and try to get to put their hand on this region.  

35:51

Um, of course uh in term of energy, in term of  population, term of uh location, the Islamic  

36:01

code has extraordinary potential. Unfortunately,  that potential still wasted today is not used as  

36:09

should. I'm going to come to the wasted bit in  a second, but do you think that's why Israel is   so important to America? Uh because by having  Israel in the region, you prevent the rise of  

Geographical Importance of Israel to the West

36:23

uh any great power, any regional power, any form  of unification because it it's it creates this  

36:30

uh uh this break in the region and con and  continuously tries to keep the other powers  

36:36

in check. Like do you think just from a from  a geopolitical perspective or geographical  

36:42

perspective uh Israel remains important to the  west because of because of that sort of basic  

36:49

power relation in that negative sense? Yes.  I mean Israel was maybe positively important  

36:56

for the west in the 60s say during the cold war  because there are some Arab regime who were well  

37:03

deeply connected to the Soviet Union for example.  Yeah. So if America has a a country close to it  

37:10

like Israel at that moment maybe it was useful  at that specific moment but not anymore. Yeah.  

37:15

The the importance of Israel today is what you  you have described I think. Yeah. It's just  

37:22

preventing any kind of rising power any kind  of unification in this region. Yeah. And the  

37:29

place of is very interesting also. I I see the  the map of the Islamic court like a huge bird.  

37:36

with the Arabia. Arabia in its large sense that's  include Iraq and greater Syria. That's that's  

37:46

for example the heart and with two wings eastern  wings that ex expand to central and south Asia and  

37:57

western wing that expand to in into west and north  Africa. Even if you put some record on Google,  

38:05

you see it's the shape of of this bird. When  you look where is Palestine in that bird,  

38:11

you'll find it exactly at the place of the heart.  So people who attack Islam in Palestine actually  

38:19

they attacked Islam in the heart. They didn't  attack, you know, this left wing or right wing  

38:26

or something on the periphery. Yeah. No, they  attacked at the heart. And that's the the the  

38:32

uh the the the uh the risk that we have, the  danger that we have from but uh but I I think the  

38:39

the the conflict on Palestine was never a local or  localized conflict. It was always global. It's not  

38:47

this also not not new. Yeah. You know, I I I wrote  my uh my PhD actually on the Crusades really. And  

38:54

the Crusades was a global conflict. all Western  Europe, all Western Christianity was mobilized  

39:03

uh to attack in order to to get rid of Muslims  in in Palestine. M same thing when when the when  

39:11

the British came to the region before General  Almi invaded Jerusalem before that 33 years  

39:21

they occupy Cairo and few years before that they  occupy Assa coming from India and then two years  

39:30

before they occupy Palestine they try to occupy  Stanbul in the in the Galipoli famous battle.  

39:39

So if you look at Jerusalem, you'll find it  in the heart of this triangle. You have Cairo,  

39:47

Baghdad and Stumble. So you cannot control  Palestine without controlling the whole region  

39:56

and that's what what make the the the conflict  on Palestine. It's always a global conflict. Uh  

40:02

you mentioned earlier that um unlike these active  powers, these four active powers, uh the Islamic  

40:09

world is a passive power and so it is uh a region  upon which global great powers conduct their their  

40:17

malicious activities or their activities rather  than it sets the agenda and it it is able to  

40:24

strategically uh um operate in in this sort of  in this space of transition or in this ruptured  

40:31

world. Um, why have we wasted our efforts? I  know this is a million-dollar question in a way.  

40:37

Uh but why is it that at this moment in time the  Arab world, the Muslim world has failed uh to use  

40:45

the opportunity of this rupture uh to reunify to  to build integrationist trends to establish um uh  

40:56

economic par between the different states and to  uh to produce economic unions and and uh military  

What is Stopping Muslims from Unification?

41:05

unions like NATO. What is stopping us from that  level of of unification? Yeah, that's really hard  

41:11

questions. Uh well I think uh lack of vision, lack  of moral commitment, yeah, political selfishness,  

41:23

ignorance, many many many factors unfortunately  and there are some structural uh causes also  

41:30

like lack of democracy and real institution that  reflect the will of people. All of that together  

41:37

plus the legacy of colonialism is still deep in  this in this region. you know as a professor of  

41:44

Schlime in one of his book that was assigned to  me long time ago when I was student at Texas Tech  

41:50

University it's a it's a book on the history of  Middle East he said you know the plight of this  

41:55

region is that the Middle East was never given the  chance in the modern time to develop according to  

42:03

its own natural laws. So this region is not  developing according to its own natural laws.  

42:10

the foreign hand is still very heavy. Uh but uh I  I think it's our responsibility at at the end of  

42:18

the day. Yes. Um the worst of it is dictatorship.  Uh dictators are doing something and people are  

42:28

saying doing something else. Yeah. And without  without uh solving that that structural deep  

42:37

illness I I don't think uh nothing will anything  good will will come unfortunately um maybe I mean  

42:49

because of the atrocity we saw in Raza because of  this uh Israel now is you find Israel bombarding  

43:00

four or five countries in one day for example.  This kind of behavior hopefully will wake up  

43:08

people will awaken some some people. I can see  in the in the last month some kind of reproachma  

43:16

little bit between uh some countries in the  region for example between Saudi Arabia, Turkey,  

43:26

uh Egypt, Pakistan, Qatar. I mean there are some  I I feel at least there is some feeling of of that  

43:36

there is an imminent danger that everybody is  targeted everybody is at risk. Uh I hope that's  

43:44

beginning but uh still still we have we have a  lot of homework to do. Yeah. Earlier on uh you  

The Dangers and Benefits of Multi-Polarity

43:52

said that multipolarity is an opportunity. It's  a positive thing for the world because of course  

43:58

you don't then have this one uni pole that amasses  power and is able to uh administer its own justice  

44:05

uh upon upon especially the Muslim world as we saw  in Iraq and Afghanistan and elsewhere. Um but of  

44:12

course multipolarity also has its dangers. Um uh  in a world pre uh the bipolar world of the cold  

44:20

war you know a multipolar world led to the two  world wars. Uh a multipolar world also led to uh  

44:27

states in in in uh you know who are middle powers  uh who were not able to maneuver in in that space.  

44:37

Um what are the dangers of multipolarity that  we as a Muslim world need to think about? Let's  

44:42

talk about the benefits first of multipolarity.  Yeah. Because I I look at it from a historical  

44:47

perspective. You know in the mid 20th century  many uh nations benefited from the rift between  

44:55

Soviet Union and the west. Uh the the liberation  movement all liberation movement around the world  

45:03

benefited from that. Yeah. I mean the the most uh  clear example in in the Arab world is the Algerian  

45:10

revolution for example it was supported by Soviet  Union by Mong by Hosim about by Tito and all of  

45:20

the communists around the world and they don't  do it they don't do it for the sake of Algerians  

45:26

but because it was part of their strategy to help  anyone who can bother the the western power. Yeah,  

45:35

I think I think if we are smart enough to  benefit from the new multipolarity, yeah,  

45:42

it can be beneficial. Of course, there is a  risk also because others will try to to wage  

45:48

their worth their wars on our land for example.  Also that also happened between the west and the  

45:54

Soviet Union. Yeah, for example. There are many  wars. Americans never fought the the the uh the  

46:00

Russians face to face in the 40 years of the cold  war but they were fighting them through others and  

46:09

uh the this kind of of war also is is risky but I  think today uh Muslims can benefit from the rise  

46:18

of China at least tactically u to push little bit  to get of of the uh strategic infiltration western  

46:32

strategic infiltration to me is the most dangerous  thing because it's very deep it's been there for  

46:39

centuries since fascodama come to the Indian Ocean  500 years ago the western strategic infiltration  

46:47

of the region nothing can be achieved with this  kind of strategic infiltration Mhm. China at least  

46:57

like like China in the mid 20th century when  they helped some of the liberation movement I  

47:02

think they can you can you can find some kind of  uh common space with them. Yeah. Which is not easy  

47:09

all the time of course but I think it's if it's  done well it can be very beneficial. So in your  

47:16

article you talk about how China can provide the  Muslim world some maneuverability, some ability to  

47:23

uh but of course there is a concern about China  in for example its treatment of Muslims within its  

47:29

border you know we uh there is a a feeling that um  even if China at this stage is trying to cozy up  

Could China's Anti-Islamic Policies Mirror the U.S?

47:39

to Saudi Arabia or Afghanistan uh when uh China  gets into a becomes uh uh a a a strong enough  

47:48

power uh it would uh apply that same anti-Islamic  uh sentiment that it applies on its own on its  

47:57

own citizens when treatment uh when treating the  Islamic world. In other words, uh China would act  

48:03

in a similar way to say how the Americans have  acted for the last 20 years in the Muslim world.  

48:08

Well, I think in strategy you don't you don't care  much much about about the intention but you care  

48:15

about the action or the interest of of the other  party. I think uh China doesn't have a colonial  

48:25

history the way the west have it. They don't have  even the colonial expertise by the way. Yeah. I  

48:32

mean unlike for example uh westerners whether  it's French in North Africa or British in in in  

48:39

Asia for example in the Middle East uh China is is  is kind of self-contained civilization they felt  

48:49

always self-sufficient they feel they don't need  other they don't they don't have even a message  

48:55

to convey to others I mean they they don't do  much to to spread their language for example  

49:00

yeah That's why they established this confucious  institutes. Well, it's irrelevant you know just  

49:05

see today how many people speaks English here in  this street and those who speak Chinese of course  

49:12

it's a big big difference so that's one of the  weakness of China doesn't have the cultural uh  

49:20

attraction their soft power is is almost none and  that's good more important for me they don't have  

49:28

that strategic infiltration that westerners have  the westerners because of because of the strategic  

49:36

infiltration can they will they play with the  internal equation inside our our country. Yeah.  

49:42

I mean by by controlling few military officers  they can change the political system in this this  

49:50

country and they can support queta in that  country etc. So if the problem with China,  

49:59

if you have problem with China, at least you have  problem with an outsider. But with the west, you  

50:05

have problem with an insider, right? Is fighting  you with your own means using your own people,  

50:12

fighting you on your own land. I'm not saying  China doesn't have ambition. Yes, of course they  

50:18

have ambition. And I I used to give my students  actually of global of uh international affairs.  

50:26

Uh I used to ask them to to to watch a Chinese  film called Operation Red Sea. U it's a Chinese  

50:35

uh film produced by the Chinese army. They spend  a lot of money on it about $77 million. And uh  

50:45

it's all about it's like you know Hollywood movies  that glorifying the mar American marines but this  

50:52

is Chinese marines this this time u and it's very  important you know when I give it to send to them  

50:59

okay let's watch this film and let's see what kind  of message trying to to convey to Chinese public  

51:06

to people in our region and to the competing  global powers like United States for example Let's  

51:14

try to to get these three messages from the film.  Chinese have have ambition and I think they have  

51:22

um somehow contained the the Asian Islam. We can  say somehow mean China have strategic relation  

51:32

with Pakistan. They are investing heavily in  infrastructure in central Asia. They are the one  

51:39

who are rebuilding Afghanistan today. For example,  they have strategic partnership treaty with Iran.  

51:48

Of course, they have a guad support in Pakistan.  Yeah. And military base in Djibouti etc. You know,  

51:58

you see they have they have their own ambition but  but I think their way of doing business is much  

52:04

easier on the short term. I don't know what's will  happen in the future. Of course, then the problem  

52:11

that the chronic problem that we have with western  powers. Yeah. Muslims Muslims in China. That's a  

52:18

very good point. Of course, you know, uh it's a  tragic no doubt uh what's what's happening the  

52:26

Muslims in China. But I think we have also to give  every Muslim country or every Muslim nation the  

52:33

right to achieve their own interest without making  them responsible of what's happening to Muslims  

52:41

in another place. I mean when the Algerians were  taking arms from the Soviet Union, Soviet Union  

52:48

was occupying many Muslim people of course in  Central Asia. Yeah. They were imposing on them  

52:54

even communism and atheism. But our journal are  not responsible of what's happening to the Muslim  

53:02

OSB or Tajik or other Muslims. I mean they cannot  do anything about it. So uh we have to give that  

53:09

kind of I think uh to give people room for to  maneuver in order to achieve uh some interest  

53:19

and I actually I think the more common interest  with China that will give Muslims a say on what's  

53:29

happening also and probably they will have the  possibility to to to defend and Muslims in China  

53:37

or to convince Chinese to treat Muslims for their  own self-interest to treat Muslims in a better way  

53:44

in order to have good relation with Islamic court  for example. Why is it so important for Muslims  

53:50

according to you to study geopolitics? Because of  course it's a subject we don't really study and  

The Necessity to Study Geopolitics and Strategy

53:56

maybe today uh many of my viewers would say okay  this is a great discussion but it's beyond me to  

54:03

to really get into the intricacies the details  of of international politics that that is for  

54:09

special people or for particular experts. Um you  argue that uh there is really a necessity as part  

54:16

of our learning as a Muslim ummah for us to be  well aware of uh global relations like spell that  

54:25

out for us. Why is that so important? I think  in Islamic culture we we've been too abstract  

54:33

for too long. Uh we talk a lot about abstract  leave. We talk a lot about abstract principles,  

54:42

talk about identity, about culture, about all  kind of cultural abstraction without efficiency,  

54:51

without uh effective effort. And I think the  reason of that because we ignore two very  

54:59

important field of knowledge today, geopolitics  and strategic status. Right? We like I mean the  

55:06

the great Algerian thinker Malik Penabi talked  about this in one of his books actually in a few  

55:12

of his books and he called the lack of practical  lo or he used the uh the French word savar which  

55:21

means knowh how that Muslims need really know how  they need technical expertise technical expertise  

55:29

in the strategic and political sense here. Yeah.  So I I think with the strategic sense with the  

55:37

uh uh with good study of of geopolitics that will  uh save for us a lot of time and effort. Muslims  

55:49

are are giving huge sacrifice but the results are  very me. No, it's it's there there is no there is  

55:58

no uh compatibility between the sacrifice and  the achievements. Yeah. And when you see that  

56:05

that means there is a problem in practical  understanding, practical sense or strategic  

56:12

sense. So I I think I I really believe and  I've been working on these uh cultural abstract  

56:20

issues for many years on Islamic political  thought. Yeah. on Islamop political history,  

56:25

on philosophy of religion and that kind of things  that I study at the university. But I feel there  

56:33

is something missing that we have to and I advise  young Muslims to spend some time and some effort  

56:42

on geopolitic and strategic steps. I'm going to I  I don't believe this for I I what you're saying to  

56:48

is is music to my ears. Um but I I would say  that so many people would would suggest well  

56:55

what has that got to do with Islam? you know,  Islam is to uh to fulfill your obligations,  

Where Different Types of Religiosity Fit in Our Lives

57:01

to learn the Quran, to learn the Sunnah, to you  know, to understand how to live a moral life. And  

57:08

their paradigm is one of trying to uh uh make  them personally closer to Allah subhanaa tala  

57:16

to get Jenna. And this subject of geopolitics,  surely that's not a religious subject. That's  

57:21

not something that will gain us ja. So why should  we place that within our our learning like how  

57:27

would you respond to to to this? Yeah, that's  very important question actually and this might  

57:34

because my study was in history of religion  and and the philosophy of religion. There are  

57:39

something we call types of religiosity.  There are several types of religiosity.  

57:45

Some people all of their religious energy is on  fulfilling or you know performing rituals about  

57:56

and that's called ritual religiosity and there  are there is social religiosity some people whose  

58:02

religious energy is for example doing charity  and defending the oppressed and and some people  

58:09

their religiosity is intellectual it's called  intellectual religioity they like discussing   ideas on religion. Yeah, they are very skillful in  defending the faith and religious ideas but they  

58:20

might not be very practicing in their own personal  life etc. This sometimes it has something to do  

58:26

with the human personality. You know everyone has  his personality but we have to to see also the  

58:33

uh that Islam is different from other religion.  When I talk usually about Islam and secularism  

58:40

told them every religion has its own uh foundation  and that foundation is what we have to use to  

58:49

judge our own behavior. For example, uh you find  the foundation in the early stage of any religion.  

58:58

Uh how how how Buddhism started as a religion.  Buddha was a prince. He was an Indian prince means  

59:08

he was doing politics. But when he started his  mission, he ran away from the palace and he left  

59:16

behind anything relate to public life and he went  to that figure tree and he sit there in the etc.  

59:24

So uh this is how Buddhism was born. He was born  Buddha with throwing from public life to private  

59:34

life. M Islam was exactly the opposite. Prophet  Muhammad was in the cave of Hra. Then Quran came  

59:41

to him draw him to the society. And even when  he tried to cover him has a nice poetry about  

59:50

this that when a prophet tried to cover himself in  Quran tell him no you cannot. Yeah. You know you  

59:59

have to stand up you have to uncover yourself.  People need you. Uh I remember nice story uh

1:00:09

mentioned by uh bybal in his construction  of Islamic thought. This is Muhammadbalani

1:00:16

one of the uh one I'm one of the friends of  course and uh I wrote a lot about him. Yeah.  

1:00:24

And I went to Lahul just to visit you  with Menz and Mazarb and and I met his  

1:00:32

grandchildren and yes it was extraordinary trip  uh in his reconstruction Islamic thought he  

1:00:39

quoted few verses of poetry written by an  Afghani Sufi poet his name Abdul Kadus he  

1:00:48

said Abdul Kadus said in his poetry prophet  Muhammad ascended to the seventh heaven and  

1:00:56

then he came back to earth by Allah if it  were me if it was me I I will never come  

1:01:02

If I went there, I would never come back to it.  And then said, well, this is difference between  

1:01:08

Sufi consciousness and prophetic consciousness.  Yes. The Sophie want to save himself. He doesn't  

1:01:16

care what's happening people on earth. But prophet  has to has to come back because people need him on  

1:01:22

earth. So for Muslims uh it's not enough to save  himself. It's not enough to withdraw from public  

1:01:30

life to go to the forest the way Buddha did. No,  he he need to withdraw from his cave to the public  

1:01:40

life. And that's that's part of Islam. Uh and  uh when we when we read Islam through the eyes  

1:01:50

of other religions, maybe we got confused. But  I think we need to read Islam on its own ter.  

1:01:58

Tell me about his fascination with Kabal. Um I I  very rarely meet Oh, that's a longer story. Oh,  

1:02:04

I I have I have all evening. I very very  rarely meet uh an Arab uh person or academic  

About Muhammad Iqbal

1:02:11

who reads Muhammadbal so closely. I mean why  why Muhammadbal? I don't know why. I just uh  

1:02:17

got fascinated with 25 years ago. Yeah. For  a long time. for the uninitiated like who is  

1:02:24

Muhammadbal and why is he so so profound? Bal is  is just a fascinating uh personality. I you know  

1:02:34

um I knew him first through the books some books  in Arabic about him and in English like book of uh  

1:02:42

of uh s Hassan Nadui glory of it he was written in  Arabic originally. Yeah. And another Egyptian poet  

1:02:51

and medical doctor, a genius, his name is is his  book is the revolutionary poet. He's a the writer  

1:03:05

is Nib Kilani. Yeah. And I think Anmar Shamal book  Gabriel swing started with this and then he just  

1:03:15

extraordinary fascinating started uh and then I  read all of the books of course all of his poetry  

1:03:21

I memorized hundreds of verses of his poetry in  Arabic translation. Yeah I read him in French  

1:03:26

translation, English, Arabic. I wish I can read  them in order and Persian unfortunately. Yeah,  

1:03:32

not possible yet. Um many nice stories happened  to me with in 1915. I I was in a conference in  

1:03:42

Granada. I told my friend I have to go to  Corttoba. He said why? He said I went to  

1:03:49

read the poem of the mosque of Corttoba inside the  mosque. Said what? You're traveling 3 hours in the  

1:03:57

bus and 3 hours coming back just to read this poem  for 2 minutes. They said, "Of course, for me it's  

1:04:03

worth Yes, it's worth it." So, I went to there  and I read the poem inside the mosque and there  

1:04:08

was a Spanish police officer coming to me. Sir, no  public statement is allowed here. He was chasing  

1:04:18

me and I was hiding behind Yeah. behind tourists  inside the mosque until I was able to Yeah. to  

1:04:25

record the And what was the poem? Do you recall  the rough? Yeah, of course. I memorize it by in  

1:04:31

Arabic translation. Can you tell us in Arabic what  the poem was? Yeah, it's it's called the mosque of

1:04:50

it's a very long poem and but I don't want to  read it in Arabic for your audience might not  

1:04:57

understand and and roughly what is is he lamenting  the loss of of ka what is the yes yeah the loss of  

1:05:04

Andalusiabar was the first Muslim who pray inside  the mosque of Corttoba after 700 years. Corttoba  

1:05:13

was taken by the uh by the the Spaniard in 1238.  Yeah. and he visited the mosque 1931 and he  

1:05:27

asked he got a special permission really from the  minister of culture of Spain at the time was his  

1:05:33

friend he was orientalist was deeply interested in  Islamic culture he has a book on on the uh Islam  

1:05:42

and the divine comedy no divine divine comedy or  of dante of dante yeah divine um I know what you  

1:05:52

infernal the divine the yeah dant is inferno  maybe. Yeah, maybe. Maybe. Yes. Yeah. Um and  

1:06:00

u and and he I have I have his pictures praying  there inside. He he wrote several several poem  

1:06:08

on on on andia uh including one um on the river of  Corttoba. One when he was saying bye to Corttova,  

1:06:20

farewell to Corttoba. Uh yeah. And this  is what among his most beautiful poem at  

1:06:27

least in the Arabic translation. And my friend  Shik Pakistani scholar of told me also that he  

1:06:36

didn't told me but he said it in one of his  books he said that the the poem Mosque of  

1:06:43

is the most eloquent poem ever written in  Uru in the history of of of this language.  

1:06:49

said we need to bring you back to talk about Alama  Kabal I think at a later because that is a yeah  

1:06:56

far away from geopolitics far away from one final  question actually um so we've all that we've said  

1:07:02

so far uh and we've talked about the importance  of geopolitics and you know I I personally see  

1:07:08

the learning of geopolitics to be part of our  religious duty as a Muslim um because that's yes  

1:07:14

how we as as as Muslims uh accumulate strength  and and power as as an um and and you know it's  

1:07:21

maybe our lack of understanding of geopolitics  that has led us to partly at least to our very  

The Practicality of Studying Geopolitics

1:07:27

problematic and challenging state in in the world.  How do we practically get there? Like apart from  

1:07:32

studying geopolitics at a university level and  there's no guarantee by the way that someone who  

1:07:37

studies geopolitics is going to be an effective  strategic practitioner of geopolitics. Right? So  

1:07:44

many who go to London universities and come back  and rule the Muslim world not particularly well I  

1:07:50

I presume. So how do we incor how do we bring  geopolitics into our halakart system into our  

1:07:57

mothers assault system into our I think we need  the institutions uh of course knowledge knowledge  

1:08:04

itself is not enough definitely there is need for  commitment of course uh but I I believe people  

1:08:11

are knowledgeable about geopolitics strategic  studies if they are committed they can serve the  

1:08:17

cause much more uh in in a much more effective  way and there is a lot of lack of efficiency in  

1:08:27

what Muslims are doing today. Unfortunately, I  think that's also the main idea of Malik Bi in  

1:08:32

his books is that lack of efficiency, you  know, leicity he call it in French. Yeah,  

1:08:38

that's one of the main illness of Islamic culture  today. Um I think geopolitics just make us  

1:08:47

uh realistic and we can have practical plans.  We can do politics in the practical sense. Yeah.  

1:08:55

Not as slogans or abstraction and that's what is  needed today. And uh talking about geopolitics,  

1:09:04

I think also we need to understand geopolitical,  Islamic world, what kind of potential we have. Why   the Islamic world is so divided today for example  with all of the potential we have? Yeah. Is it  

1:09:15

because of uh of multiple identities and and uh  and diversity? No, I don't think so. The European  

1:09:25

in the European European Union has 24 official  languages. the European Union for example and  

1:09:33

there are many ethnicities. Yeah. In Europe but  they are today's just like one federal country.  

1:09:40

Uh if we look at the western world in general with  NATO with open border with uh working together at  

1:09:49

least before Trump bring his his new ideas. Yes.  I mean at least in the last 70 years since the end  

1:09:57

of World War II the west has been very effective  block and with a huge geographic uh distances with  

1:10:07

a huge uh ethnic and cultural differences but they  were able to work together mean uh people you know  

1:10:16

I I don't agree with people who are pessimistic  about the the reality of the Islamic world today  

1:10:22

and said oh so many people so many languages  too far away. How can I be how can I be in unity  

1:10:28

with Malaysia for example or with Bangladesh or  with synagogue it's far away it's too different  

1:10:34

then same thing in the western world you know  how far is Australia from UK for example it's  

1:10:41

15,000 kilometers but but they are both part of  the western world so I think uh we need to create  

1:10:50

a also practical sense of how to achieve Islamic  unitybal talked about two two principles by the  

1:10:59

way on this. He was not always writing poetry.  He also did politics. Yeah. um he talked about  

1:11:08

uh the necessity for an Islamic League of Nation  and that was in the theories and he also wrote  

1:11:17

uh in one of his of his letters he talked about  the necessity of an Islamic commonwealth. He  

1:11:25

talked about these two concept Islamic League of  Nation and Islamic common. I mean he was a man of  

1:11:31

his time at least. He was thinking how others  achieve some kind of unity and why don't we do  

1:11:38

it and I think uh um we need a profound change in  our political culture and the first and foremost  

1:11:49

is to be more familiar I believe with geopolitic  and strategic status to be practical. Thank you  

1:11:58

so much. Professor Dr. Muhammad Mkhtar Shiniti,  thank you. Thank you so much for your time today  

1:12:04

and it's really been I I think it's just been  a wonderful interview. Thank you so much. Thank   you so much. Thanks a lot. Asalam alaikum. Now  you've reached the end of this show and the fact  

1:12:14

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1:12:26

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1:12:34

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Ep 280. - ICE: When US Fascism Comes Home | Hussam Ayloush