Ep 270. - The Bloodied Emirates II: How the UAE failed in Sudan with Dr. Andreas Krieg

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This week, Dr. Andreas Krieg will join The Thinking Muslim to unpack the UAE’s complex involvement in Sudan’s ongoing turmoil and the ascent of the notorious Rapid Support Forces (RSF). He will explore how regional power politics, covert support networks, and geopolitical ambitions have shaped the conflict, empowering the RSF and deepening Sudan’s instability.

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Transcript - This is an automated transcript and may not reflect the actual conversation

Introduction

0:00

Dubai has always didn't just turn a blind eye but  two blind eyes from where that gold comes from.   You know these satellite imageries that we see of  mountains of dead people within their own blood.  

0:10

Yeah. The capture of al fascia put the RSF in a  far more powerful position than they were before.   The RSF is being supported by the UAE. I mean are  there any good guys in the starvation being used  

0:20

as well as a weapon? But one of the narratives  that the UAE sort of influences is one where  

0:25

they're saying, you know, they're they're fighting  the SAF as as a proxy of the Muslim Brotherhood.   I'm a little bit like the Israeli saying this  this guy's Hamas and this guy is Hamas. This is  

0:33

none of the European powers and the United States  have actually come out openly pointing the finger  

0:38

at the UAE despite the fact the evidence is there.  I I think it's been called the forgotten war in in  

0:44

many ways because Ukraine and Gaza is happening.  Well, the atrocities that are being committed are  

0:49

very not only sadistic, but they're very it's a  very personal. It's a direct proximity between  

0:55

civilians and these fighters where atrocities  being committed against children and women in   front of their, you know, the entire family.  Here is a country that has developed immense  

1:03

power and influence in the world. Why are they not  using it for something good? Dr. Andreas Creek,  

1:10

welcome back to the Thinking Muslim. It's a  pleasure to have you with us. Thanks for having   me again. Well, it's lovely to have you with us.  Now uh today I want to talk about Sudan. I mean  

1:18

it's a very precarious uh situation in Sudan and  you know we've been seeing some horrific scenes uh  

1:23

from Alasir and from other places in Sudan and it  seems like uh this civil conflict if we can call  

1:29

it that or a conflict between two military men is  is just never ending and uh the pressures that's  

1:36

putting on the ordinary Sudin is heart-wrenching  really. So I I think it's been called a the forgot  

1:42

forgotten war in in many ways because um Ukraine  and Gaza is happening and and uh for whatever  

1:49

reason we just haven't spoken enough about Sudan  and today we want to correct that a little bit   on this show and I know you've been talking a lot  about it and you've been writing about the various  

1:59

factions in particular the relationship between  the UAE and one of those factions the RSF led by  

2:05

General Hametti and I want to I want to talk about  the UAE's role But let's maybe step back a little  

2:11

bit. Let's start with the background. So this  is in effect a conflict between two generals.  

2:18

You've got General Brhan from the SAF and then  you've got General Hetti uh from the irregular  

2:23

RSF force. Um just tell us a little bit about  these two individuals because they were former  

2:29

allies. Uh why did they fall out and why has that  led to this catastrophic conflict across Sudan?  

The Complexities of the Conflict

2:37

an atrocious conflict really if you look at what  the pictures and images came out of alasha. So  

2:43

how far do you want to go back is the question but  um generally the media portrays this as a binary  

2:48

conflict between the RSF and the SAF. It is a  it's a bit more complex than that because the  

2:54

both of these actors aren't you know hierarchies  which just rally around this one leader. I mean,   they're kind of, you know, hetarchical uh entities  where you have all kinds of different um sort of  

3:04

militias and and non-state actors or paramilitary  actors. And basically, it's these are two networks  

3:11

that are clashing uh where militias and brigades  are fighting within one sphere of influence, which  

3:17

is one is revolving around the the Hemeti family  um this warlord who runs the RSF. Mhm. Um and the  

3:24

other one revolves around the SAF um uh which is  the more regular military but also in itself works  

3:31

with paramilitary groups um and is a remnant  of the former of the Omar Bashier time sort of  

3:37

regular military. These two have been clashing for  the last two and a half years since April 2023.  

3:44

But we shouldn't forget that for a long time they  were working together. Yeah. Uh and so they're   part of the same problem really because if what  what the people in Sudan wanted in that revolution  

3:53

2018 2019 was kind of creating a you know wanted  to get rid of one dictatorship by Shia and then  

3:58

replacing it with some sort of uh civilian rule  and that never really happened. Uh what we ended   up with is you know a pseudo civilian rule for  a year or two wi with a with a civilian sort of  

4:09

face. But in reality, we transition from this Omar  Bashia Islamist military sort of uh dictatorship  

4:16

to a military dictatorship run by the SAF and the  RSF who really control all elements of of power  

4:22

and obviously have a monopoly over violence  in the country for for many years. And they   staged a coup in 2021 against the civilian face  of this transitionary government and ma very  

4:34

much established a military dictatorship. And so  both of them were part of that. Both of them were   cooperating. But over time, the SAF, which was  obviously quote unquote the regular military,  

4:43

wanted the paramilitary RSF to integrate into  uh their sort of chain of command and and Hemet,  

4:49

the RSF said, "No, definitely not." Also,  because Heati has grown into a far more   powerful player than just being a warlord. Uh  he's also a major economic player, billionaire,  

4:58

um with extensive funds and access to resources  in southern Sudan, which make him, you know,  

5:03

extremely powerful. And so he refused to do that.  And that kind of that refusal to integrate between   21 and 23 really led to the outbreak of the  current civil war where the RSF has been trying  

5:14

to usurp um governance altogether um capturing  Khatum or capt trying to capture the government.  

5:20

They've failed or they were pushed out eventually  by the SAF but it's a it's a stalemate. It's not  

5:25

really neither side is winning. I mean, it's a  bit like World War I in the European battlefield   where one one year or one one month you've have  the SAF making an offensive and and and kind of  

5:35

gaining territory in the other and then the next  month you'll have the RSF regaining that territory   and obviously as of late the the the capture of  Alfasia certainly made uh made the RSF or put  

5:45

the RSF in a far more powerful position than they  were before. But we're basically in this stalemate   right now where the RSF has as of late gained  territory, but are nowhere near powerful enough  

5:55

to win this conflict and take over Katum. Neither  is the SAF powerful enough to really recapture the  

6:01

fall from the RSF. So we're in that stalemate now.  Alaykum, this is your brother Mean Mtar, CEO at  

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to learn more and give. So this is a conflict  between two generals who formerly had uh warm  

The RSF and SAF

7:06

relations. They were allies and they worked  of course under the Omar Basher dictatorship.   um uh they thwarted did you say the civilian rule  in uh in many ways civilian government the uh the  

7:18

the cries of the revolution were were undone  by these two military men. So I suppose you  

7:24

know often we can we can um characterize this  conflict in a very binary way. You know the RSF  

7:29

is been supported by the UAE who we'll talk about  and so they're the bad guys and Bhan's the good  

7:34

guy. I mean are there any good guys in this conf?  I mean there's is maybe the RS maybe the SAF is  

7:40

the lesser of two evils if you will but um it's  you know in both it's it's pest against cholera   really if you're a Sudanese and you want civilian  governance then neither site will deliver this for  

7:50

you um but I think what what kind of makes the  RSF stand out is the the atrocities that they've  

7:55

committed and the fact that they're obviously  based on the genocidal Janja who was been accused  

8:00

of genocide in in in Dur in the early 2000 and  2003. Yeah. So explain that to me. So uh General  

8:08

Hamemedi uh used to lead these Januid militias  and they've been accused by all sorts of agencies,  

8:15

international bodies, credible people within Sudan  of committing uh horrendous atrocities in Darur.  

8:22

Yes. Largely against Sudanese Christians. Um just  explain that dynamic like why is it that Omar  

8:29

Basher the former dictator why did he need these  irregular forces when he had the SAF when he had  

8:35

uh the regular army. So Saddan is a you know if  you look at the border of Sudan again is one of   these cases where the British and the colonial  powers drew the map and drew the the borders and  

8:46

um so you have a very diverse group of people  living within the borders of Sudan. Some of   them being Christian, some of them being  Muslim, some of them being different tribes  

8:54

who are transnational in nature. Some of them  living on the Sudin side, others living on the   Chadian side. Uh you have an issue between what  they call the Arab Sudin and the black African  

9:03

Sudanese. Usually that kind of correlates with  the distinction between Christians and Muslims as  

9:08

well. Um but it was very much a racist um ethnic  conflict in in in the early 2000s. And Omar Bashir  

9:17

saw the rebels who were asking for more power or  for more influence or for more autonomy in Darur  

9:23

in the early 2000s. Uh he saw them as an enemy  of the regime. Um and he needed someone to clamp  

9:29

down not in an you know he didn't want to enter  into negotiations. This was a the intent was to  

9:34

exterminate the rebellion and under the context  of fighting that rebellion and count insurgency   they committed all kinds of atrocities against  the people on the ground and the RSF obviously  

9:42

at the time didn't exist but they used these um  Sudanese Muslim fighters um the Janja which means  

9:50

fighters on horseback to kind of clamp down on  this rebellion and kind of also uh kind of you  

9:56

know act of with acts of retribution against the  civilian population as well where you know you all  

10:02

kinds of massacres being committed and it led it's  one of the few occasions where you see a western   leader actually coming out and calling a calling  atrocities for what they are genocide and actually  

10:12

it was at the time it was the US secretary of  state um Powell who who called it a genocide so  

10:18

you know under the Bush administration and most  people didn't really recognize what was happening   there because Iraq was going in Afghanistan and  it was very much forgotten but the Janja were  

10:27

you know they are accused and there's a lot of  evidence for war crimes being comm committed and   for a gen genocidal campaign of extermination  against these kind of mostly Christian black  

10:37

African Sudin. Um and so the Jawit militia  became sort of a a deniable part of repression  

10:45

by the Bashir regime, right? Because they were not  regular forces. They were not regular forces. So   a plausible deniability bash said I have no idea  what's going on there. Although quite clear that  

10:53

they they were quite powerful. Um and he is a very  powerful warlord in the in the Janja at the time,  

10:59

but he's not the only one. Um over time there are  others um but he is really becoming over time an  

11:05

ever more powerful omnipotent leader within the  Janja that then becomes a paramilitary force after  

11:13

the what they did in Dur for the regime they're  being rewarded by becoming an an unofficial  

11:19

paramilitary force within the Bashir regime right  so um a brutality of heist forces you know the  

Importance of Al-Fasher

11:27

Janjid militia that's carried into this RSF force  that that has been created that brutality remains.  

11:33

I mean we saw some horrific scenes from Alashir.  Just explain what happened in Alfasir and and  

11:40

I suppose you you talked a little bit about the  strategic importance of this city like why why is  

11:46

this why is this seen to be a major gain for the  RSF forces? No has been a very much an embattled  

11:53

city for a while that has been besieged for many  many months. um uh you know starvation being used  

11:59

as well as a weapon. Um but the SAF was able to  hold it out um because it's a very it's it's if  

12:05

you look at the map of Sudan, you can see it's  at a very strategic sort of choke point between  

12:10

Dur and um the southern sort of corridor in the  south of Sudan where most of the resources are  

12:17

especially where a lot of the oil is. Right. Um  so if you want to control um DO in particular and  

12:23

that's ultimately what the RSF wants to achieve in  the in in the first instance to make DO to dig in  

12:28

D4 and make sure that the SAF uh can't regain any  of that territory in D4 and if you want to control  

12:34

DO alash alas is is kind of one of these key sort  of choke points that you need to hold and that you  

12:40

need to uh and that you need to kind of defend as  well if you wanted to keep Dour and if you wanted  

12:46

to then leap forward into into the resourcerich  basin uh to the east and um potentially even go  

12:52

up north towards Katum. You need to take Alfasia.  So it's it's a very pivotal moment if you will in  

12:58

in reconquering all of Dor and potentially  preparing a bigger offensive further east   and for the further north. Right. Okay. And um  we we noticed that a lot of the RSF fighters,  

Impunity of RSF soldiers

13:08

they tend to film themselves committing these  atrocities. So there is an an impunity there.   Like what why why is there an impunity there? Why  is it that uh they don't see a a a problem from a  

13:20

sort of like soft power, let's say, perspective,  a problem with with their actions and and  

13:25

um how they're conducting and prosecuting this  conflict? Well, the atrocities they're being   committed are very not only sadistic, but they're  very, you know, it's it's different from a remote  

13:36

warfare conflict like we see in Gaza where, you  know, someone presses the button and you drop   a bomb. Um it's a very personal it's a direct  proximity between civilians and these fighters  

13:45

where atrocities being committed against children  and women in front of their you know the entire   family you know these satellite imageries that we  see of you know mountains of dead people within  

13:55

their own blood. Yeah. Absolutely atrocious. And  it's it's it's it's very much, you know, this sort  

14:01

of barbaric approach is being celebrated as some  sort of form of masculinity of show of strength by  

14:06

these militias who are who are basically showing  off and saying, you know, look what we're doing   and we we'll come for you as well. It's an act  of it's it's a bit an element of deterrence in  

14:14

there of saying you better stop or else this is  what we're going to do what we're going to do to   you. And this a ditarian element is part of that  ethnic cleansing and that goes kind of connects  

14:23

this current conflict to what happened in 2003  um which you know there was a clear campaign to  

14:29

push you know Christians and black Africans and  and certain tribes that don't align with he push  

14:34

them out of DEO to the south or somewhere else in  this case now probably to the east um because that  

14:40

form of deterrence is part of ethnic cleansing  right it's and it has to be propagated in that   way to show that this is something that might  happen to whoever stands in the way of the RSF  

UAE relationship with RSF

14:50

Now Andreas, you are someone who you've you've  studied and researched uh the role of the UAE in  

14:55

multiple conflicts across the world and and  just how UAE uh conducts itself, you know,  

15:01

through these shadowy organizations, these middle  organizations that that help fund and and uh and  

15:07

create and develop these uh these paramilitary  forces in Libya, in Somalia, in and elsewhere.  

15:14

Let's focus in on on the UAE and its relationship  with this RSF force. And so until today,  

15:21

as far as I know it, the UAE will swear blind that  it has no relationship or little relationship with  

15:26

the RSF. Just, you know, how would one uh respond  to to those claims? Yeah. The narrative is there  

15:34

there is no relationship with the RSF. The UA is  saying that they, you know, they want a civilian   government. They're saying that they they want an  inclusive Sudan and so on so forth. Um but this is  

15:44

part of the sort of genosfaced two-faced approach  that the Emiratis are driving in many of these  

15:49

conflicts where the official governance sector  which is Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of   Defense in Abu Dhabi is kind of following more or  less the playbook of most other countries in this  

16:00

part of the world. Very much formal engagements,  diplomatic engagements, trying to work with the   UN. Um they've done that in Yemen, they've done  that in Libya. But then under the table, what  

16:08

really is the deeper and much more strategically  relevant sort of um form of or way of statecraft  

16:15

that they're using is is these private networks  uh of uh of entities mostly corporate entities  

16:21

who are aligned directly with the inner circle of  power in Abu Dhabi. What you know I would describe  

16:27

as the Bani Fatima, the these three brothers  around Muhammad bin Zed who were in Zid's who were  

16:33

the the sons of Zid's wife Fatima. um and they  in their networks that they have with their these  

16:39

massive um sovereign equity funded hubs. These  networks are extremely instrumental in building  

16:46

relationships with these non-state actors,  sustaining them logistically um helping them   to bring commodities from let's say Africa into  into Dubai and laundering that in this case mostly  

16:57

gold. Uh and also translating that that cash into  a value chain that can be used to purchase you  

17:03

know any any sort of support that they need. Um  so logistics important, commodity company, trading  

17:09

companies are important. Um private military  and security companies are important because   we have a lot of mercenaries there as well. We're  supporting the RSF. Some of these mercenaries have  

17:18

come from the were in a were in the UAE before or  employed by companies registered in the UAE. So  

17:24

that again not coincidental. And so the UAE have  really been able to supercharge their regular  

17:29

means of state craft with these kind of informal  networks that provide this fairly small state in  

17:34

terms of you remember the UAE is a country of a  million citizens with an ability to kind of use  

17:40

um the full spectrum of statecraft that is  necessary to sustain a war effort such as this  

17:46

one in Sudan and the RSF being the key key target  here. But how do you respond to the allegation of  

17:52

them saying you know we we have no relationship  with the RSF? So it's plausibly deniable. So if   you use these kind of networks, there is always  a one or two degrees of dissociation between  

18:02

what's happening on the ground and Abu Dhabi uh  in you know and the core of power in Abu Dhabi.  

18:08

the relationship exists and it's easily traceable  but it's still plausible deniable when you have a  

18:14

plane load of arms being flown into uh Chud  for example uh under you know where half of  

18:22

the plane or a third of the plane is humanitarian  aid UAE remains a a donor of humanitarian aid a  

18:27

very important one in Sudan so they fly humanarian  aid in and twothirds or even more than that of the   plane are actually military is military equipment  and military support for the RSF how do we know of  

18:38

Yes. Now we have there's a lot of investigative  journalists who've been on the ground who've   you know been very reputable one. These are not  kind of conspiracy theories. It's been very well  

18:46

documented in the New York Times. Um but also  a lot of you know I I work in the in in in in   in the due diligence space as well looking at you  know these uh uh you know into geopolitical risks  

18:58

on the ground and if you tap into these networks  on the ground who work in some of these airports  

19:03

for example who work with some of the companies  as well you know there's images out there there's   pictures that were taken these this is not hearsay  there is solid evidence we have the UN um the  

19:12

UN uh expert panel on Sudan who've also really  unpacked these lings as well and showing how the  

19:19

arms how these arms come into into the country.  So that's all very well documented. Um and so you  

19:26

know when the UAL we have no relationship. It  might be that you know the Ministry of Foreign   Affairs has no relationship with the RSF although  that is also disputable. Um, but it certainly is  

19:35

these informal networks that do. And I think  we should also not forget that the UAE were   instrumental in 2019 after the revolution to reach  out to both Burhan and Hemeti um and using both of  

19:48

them as their pawns in order to control together  at the time with with Saudi um to kind of build  

19:53

this military dictatorship that then fell apart in  2023 prior to this civil war. So this relationship  

19:59

with Ameti goes back at least and that's another  important aspect I think we need to talk about   here. It goes back to the the the early 2010s. Uh  when he emerges as a very very powerful um actor  

20:11

within the Janja powerful within the RSF but also  becomes a very important sort of businessman. I  

20:17

mean he's seizing when he seizes these gold mines  in the four he becomes a a major player in in the  

20:23

in the in the gold trade. And where does he bring  his gold? there is no no other hub but but Dubai  

20:30

and Dubai is always closed you know not didn't  just turn a blind eye but two blind eyes of where  

20:36

you know where it came from where that gold comes  from and how you can translate that gold launder   it in in Dubai all that is also well documented  so people estimate that the family now is worth  

20:47

billions of dollars that money most of it is  in the UAE because UAE banks are quite open to  

20:52

hold anybody's money um and he is able to access  this money and buy whatever he needs for the RSF.  

20:59

That's one aspect and that's the economic side.  On the military side, what is important as well  

21:05

is that uh Heati becomes a mercenary in 2015  where he's saying he's no longer just fighting  

21:10

in the war, but he offers the RSF services, the  Janja services to the UAE and to Saudi Arabia to  

21:17

fight for them as a proxy or surrogate in Yemen.  So a lot of the RSF fighters go and fight in Yemen  

21:22

return after this with quite a lot of money  but also with arms and equipment back into  

21:27

uh into Dur. So that relationship between HTI  and the UAE predates this conflict right now.  

21:34

It predates even the engagement in 2019 when the  Emirati become a major player in building this   military dictatorship. It goes back to, you know,  like I said, 2015 war in Yemen where they work  

21:44

very closely with the Emiratis, but also the gold  trait which was really supercharged in 2017 after  

21:50

the Janja had a little bit of an internal coup and  he really emerges as the most potent player within  

21:55

the Janja and within the RSF and seizes all of  the gold mines and therefore and uses the UAE as  

22:01

a jurisdiction to launder that. and we see his  brother in particular setting up uh businesses   that are now uh listed by the US Treasury and  sanctioned um in the UAE to kind of facilitate  

22:11

this sort of illicit trade. So there's a few  threads there that I want to pick on, but let's   just talk about the motive like why is it that  the UAE uh remains um this major player in Sudan  

Gold

22:23

and and is is funding the RSF. I mean you spoke  a little bit about gold and is that the interest?  

22:29

The interest is is the mineral wealth. It's one  aspect of it. I think the if you look at the  

22:34

narrative campaigns and the UA doing a terrible  job at the moment in terms of and it's you know   you can't I always say from a PR perspective you  can't polish a turd. Um you know if you're trying  

22:44

to kind of whitewash the RSF it's impossible  after the atrocities that were propagated. Um,  

22:49

but one of the narratives that the UAE sort of  influences and bots are pushing at the moment  

22:55

is is one where they're where they're on the one  hand they're saying, you know, they're they're   fighting the SAF as in as a proxy of the Muslim  Brotherhood. That's kind of this, you know, the  

23:05

go-to phrase that the U the UAE are using all the  time. It's a little bit like the Israeli saying   this this guy's Hamas and this guy is Hamas. This  is so what the Emirati and their networks do is  

23:13

they say this guy's Muslim Brotherhood, this guy,  you know, people who are not even Muslim. Um but   the narrative in the UAE in Sudan now is that the  SAF is a Muslim Brotherhood aligned entity. What  

23:22

is true though that there are some networks  Islamist networks from the Bashia time that   are still within the the SAF sort of um sphere of  influence if you will when they support them. But  

23:32

to say that Borhan is a Muslim brother or that  the SAF is a Muslim Brotherhood entity is just  

23:38

factually false. But there is this narrative this  value based element of saying we're here because   we're fighting the Islamists. Right. I so it's I  think it's a it's a it's a pretext but it's one  

23:48

that's still considering how obsessed the UAE  are with the Muslim Brotherhood or this notion   is I mean it's it's a paranoia that is no longer  rationally explainable um uh and it has been let  

23:59

at absurd because it completely ridicules any  sort of uh statement that the Emiratis make.  

24:05

It's still one of one aspect that we shouldn't  completely disregard. But I would say the most  

24:10

important thing in Sudan for them is really uh  is geostrategic, geopolitical and geoeconomic in  

24:16

nature. So it's about Sudan being this sort  of um hub in in in a in a regional system,  

24:23

a strategic again a strategic choke point to  enter into the Horn of Africa to you know number  

24:29

one it's a you know it has access to the Red Sea.  it uh you know the port port of Sudan, Port Sudan  

24:35

is a very important port and the Emirati even  have an MOU to build another port next to it.   Um and so that was all part that all came all came  um you know all became a part of their policy in  

24:48

this interim period from after the revolution  to uh to uh you know between the revolution and  

24:56

and when when the SAF and the RSF consolidated. Um  the the Amiratis wanted access to these logistical  

25:03

corridors that link up Sudan with Libya. Again, we  have to remember much of the Arab Spring for the  

25:08

Emiratis and their counterrevolution starts in in  Libya and Libya is the first sort of bridge head  

25:14

that they build to get access into Africa. And so  that corridor is important. It leads directly into   Sudan. It connects Sudan connects into Chad again  where the Emiratis have quite a lot of interest.  

25:23

But it also links into subsaharan Africa into  Uganda. Uh again, Emiratis have a lot of interest.   It links into Ethiopia where again the Emiratis  have a lot of interest and have been supplying the  

25:33

Abi government. Um and it it is another stepping  stone from Somalia as well where there's now there  

25:40

could be a logistical network between Somalia  and Sudan. Um then there are you know oil is  

25:45

very important. The Chinese have a major pipeline  that goes from the south of Sudan all the way to   the Red Sea coast. Um and much of the Dour area  in oil wealth is controlled by the Chinese. So  

25:57

the Emirati want to be this larger than live sort  of um gatekeeper if you will in Sudan of saying if  

26:04

the Chinese want to do business there they got  to speak to us. Anybody who wants to go into   southern Sudan or therefore they have to speak  to us because we control the RSF. And that's the  

26:12

geopolitical element of it where they're saying  we have access to geostrategic real estate and  

26:17

resources where anybody who wants to have access  to this has to speak to us. And they're kind of   trading this and and and the ultimate endgame of  this is despite the fact that the entire world  

26:27

is against the RSF. I don't think there's anyone  who speaks out on behalf of the RSF apart from um   apart from the UAE. There's no one who would dare  to do that. Right. Some UAE influences. Yes. Well,  

26:37

apart from Yeah. Maybe if you're paid for by the  UAE or your Emirati, maybe that's what you would   do. But nobody really does. Um, but nonetheless,  most people have realized that you need to speak  

26:47

to the Emirates even if you dis absolutely  disagree fundamentally with what they're doing  

26:52

uh in Dur because they're in indispensable now.  They've made themselves indispensable in this very  

26:57

strategically critical area of the world and that  is also part of their interest. they want to be,  

27:02

you know, they always say you need to call a  plus 971, which is their country code, if you  

27:08

want anything done in Libya, in Sudan, in Somalia  or Yemen. And it's true. They are the biggest,  

27:13

they're not the only player, but they're  the most important player. Um, in in Vansa,   you talked about, you started with the sort of  the ideological component and and sometimes we  

‘Islamists’

27:22

don't speak enough about this. It seems to me that  the UAE is responsible for thwarting any form of  

27:28

civilian rule, civilian government across the  region, not just in in Sudan. Like what's going  

27:33

on there? Does it really believe that uh if if  there's genuine civilian rule then there will be  

27:39

an Islamist dimension to that? Is that is that  the consideration there? Yeah. So the Islamist  

27:44

scarecrow or boogeyman is really a catchall  phrase to say civil society. They're afraid  

27:50

not of Islamist but of civil society. You know,  obviously civil society in this part of the world   is often mostly Muslim and at times Islamist,  if you will. Um, and the Amiratis are scared of  

28:02

the Arab street in this respect. Um, and so the  fear was that in 2018 2019 during the revolution,  

28:09

if you get if you give people the vote, they might  vote for parties who are on the Islamist spectrum,  

28:14

if you will. And they're uncontrollable. They  usually respond to the people. They usually don't   revolve around one point of contact. The Emiratis  love to have one point of contact, someone they  

28:23

can call if they need to solve something like the  Haftas of the world. They want something in Libya,   you call they call this guy and he can make it  happen. Strong men. Yeah, you need a strong man.  

28:31

And usually strongman in uniform who thinks  hierarchical is preferable to someone who's   you know a civilian sort of strongman. So they  they're looking for people in uniform who can  

28:40

fulfill that strongman rule. I mean the again you  mentioned that the UAE has taken a bit of a hit  

UAE’s strategy

28:47

uh because of its relationship with the RSF and  I think on social media and even on mainstream   media there's now very clearly a connection  has been drawn between the UAE and and the  

28:58

RSF and the atrocities of the RSF of course is  really undermining uh the cultural power let's  

29:04

say that that Dubai and Abu Dhabi have developed  over the last couple of decades. Um, how much do  

29:10

you feel there they take that into consideration?  Because it just seems to me that they're doubling   down on on their deniability, but also on on, you  know, they feel that there's more to be gained,  

29:21

I suspect, from Hemeti than to, you know, cut to  cut those strings. It's interesting, isn't it?  

29:28

Um so the UAE have a tendency and I'm writing  a book at the moment about strategic culture   in this part of the world and there is something  about Abu Dhabi strategic culture that needs to be  

29:36

understood and it's mostly the strategic culture  of Muhammad bin Z. He's a very transactional very   Makavelian man someone who comes from the military  someone who has a tendency to double down not to  

29:46

back down. Sometimes when I hear you I I feel that  you're somewhat impressed by him. I am impressed.  

29:51

I think no I'm very much impressed if you think  of what how they transformed this conventionally  

29:56

speaking small state into this larger than life  you know center or hub of this massive network  

30:04

that very much dictates the terms at least in the  Middle East and parts of Africa that is impressive  

30:09

I don't think any other Arab state has achieved  that um obviously financial wealth is important  

30:14

but others have financial wealth I think they  found a way to translate their financial wealth   into power they that's what strategy is all about.  It's about generating influence, but it's very  

30:23

machavelian. It's very um you know, it's it's very  transactional. No value. It's not value based at  

30:30

all. It's all about interest, interest, interest.  Um and so, you know, someone like Muhammad bin  

30:36

Z looks at Sudan as purely how can I extract  interest from for me and Abu Dhabi in it. And so  

30:44

the the kind of decision he has to make is whether  the interest he's gaining from supporting the RSF   by having control of the four strategically  relevant trade corridors, access to resources,  

30:54

is that worth the um costs of reputational cost  of these mo of a mobilized Sudanese diaspora as  

31:02

well. I think we shouldn't forget that in in the  UK in particular, there's a lot of Sudanese who   live here who feel very passionate about what's  going on there and they might not support the SAF,  

31:11

but they're certainly not supporting the RSF. That  is something you cannot underestimate. It drives  

31:16

mainstream media uh narrative. Although I do think  more should be done and more needs to be done on  

31:22

this. Um but this is something now this is now  a problem that they cannot ignore anymore. We've   got the U the US talking about it, the Europeans  talking about it, but so far none of the European  

31:32

powers and the United States have actually come  out openly pointing the finger at the UAE despite  

31:38

the fact the evidence is there, despite the fact  they're saying we know who's doing this, but we   still don't want to call them out. But I think the  UK was the only ones who caught them out in 2024 I  

31:48

think last year and that caused a massive uh role  and arrow and um you know sort of uh quite a lot  

31:54

of um conflict and friction with between London  Abu Dhabi. But why don't they do it? Because   ultimately the UAE is a very powerful player.  Uh it's a player that um has makes strategic  

32:05

investments in this country. um is a country  that holds some control over our logistics hubs  

32:11

um through DP World for example when they invest  here. Um so they are a very powerful player and  

32:17

um and the UK now is a beggar state in many  ways. I mean we we need investments right now   and we beggars can't be choosers and you don't  want to antagonize a potential major investor in  

32:27

your country. It's it's real politic if you will.  The same is true for other European countries. The   only country that can make a difference is  Donald Trump, but is the United States. And  

32:35

they themselves at the moment are holding back  because they hope that the UAE can provide them   with a deal. Right. Because I what I've noticed  is I mean there is now a I think they called it  

Trump

32:45

a quad. There is a a conversation taking place  about Sudan. I think it it broke down recently  

32:50

because the UA were were not happy with Egypt's uh  position on on Sudan in particular. uh uh Donald  

32:57

Trump has appointed an envoy to to Sudan. So  there is some movement, some diplomatic movement  

33:03

whereas you know in the Biden administration I I  I didn't see very much movement at all. So there   is something taking place here. I mean is that  substantial? Do you think that it will ultimately  

33:14

bear some fruits or I mean what why is why is  the Trump administration at least seemingly doing  

33:20

some action here? No, for Trump, it's all about  another, you know, he he he wants headlines for  

33:26

himself, positive headlines. He his administration  doesn't rely on the formal infrastructure of the  

33:32

US government, the state department or defense  department. They're trying to do things their   own way through their own private networks,  through contacts and intermediaries, and they  

33:40

have delegated most of the regional statecraft  to the Gulf countries anyway. I mean to Saudi   to Qatar and in in in the case of Sudan to the UAE  because the UAE have been lobbing him saying look  

33:50

we we can we can help you bring this to an end  and you'll be the one to shine because you take   the credit you'll have the whatever 12th 13th  war that you can claim you've ended which works  

33:59

well for him. Um and obviously the atrocities  have been very well documented and nobody can  

34:05

ignore it. Trump can't ignore it. Trump has been  very public about it during his during the visit   of Muhamm Salman to Washington this week where he  said you know I want this to stop. Um and the the  

34:15

Saudis used quite a lot of pressure on the Trump  administration saying you need to make this stop   and you also need to hold the Emiratis to account.  So Trump is in is under pressure to do something  

34:24

but the UA is saying just wait a minute we we'll  have to consolidate a little bit of power. We'll   have to do a bit of background behind closed doors  chatting and then when we get everyone around uh  

34:33

the table we will solve this for you. um the Saudi  UAE relationship because ideologically they're on  

Saudi and UAE

34:38

the same side here. You know, you would imagine  that the Saudis what you pointed out there about  

34:44

the UAE fought in civilian rule. The Saudis are  very much on side there. Uh why is there a rupture  

34:51

there when it comes to the when it comes to Sudan?  No, for the for the for the Saudis are far more  

34:56

risk averse than the Emiratis. I think the Saudis  are also far less innovative in their state craft.  

35:02

They're very old school in the way they do things.  um they would have been very happy with a military   dictatorship where the RSF and the SAF worked  together because that's at that time in 2019 till  

35:12

2023 the UAE and Saudi were quite aligned on this.  Um but now it seems like and this is very similar  

35:18

to Yemen which was is another point of friction  in Saudi Ara and it starts as a joint project  

35:25

Saudi UAE and then the UAE start to uh backstep  the Saudis and do their own thing at their own  

35:31

expense. I think the difference here is that the  Saudis do generally want some sort of stability.  

35:36

Let's call it authoritarian stability, but they  believe in stability. Yes. Um they don't want war  

35:41

for war's sake. The Emiratis are quite happy to  break some eggs to make an omelette, which is not  

35:47

the Saudi approach. Saudis are very riskaverse in  that respect. They do want they need to grow. They   need development domestically. They can't have  another conflict. The Saudis are very uh very  

35:55

averse to conflict right now. Um and thereby there  there at least for the moment Muhammad Salman had  

36:00

a learning curve as well considering where he  was after he you know he he he called for the   slaughter and and the the murder of Kashugji and  you know all the domestic sort of clampdown. I'm  

36:10

not saying that has stopped entirely, but there's  a bit of a learning curve in at least in foreign   and security policy where he said, "Okay, Yemen,  we we didn't, you know, we learned our lesson. We  

36:19

weren't able to win. Diplomacy is the only way  forward. We're willing to sit with everyone,   even with the Houthis, to come to some sort of  solution, which is pra is pragmatic. So there's  

36:27

a 180°ree turn in that respect at least. That  sort of pragmatism also means they're willing   to to speak to different non-state actors. Um, and  the Emiratis are not like this. the, like I said,  

36:38

the Emiratis haven't backed down ever. I mean,  whether it's in Libya where they where they failed  

36:43

to seize the capital, whether it's in Yemen where  they didn't uh succeed in in in kind of capturing  

36:49

SA, um whether it's in Sudan where they will not  be able to capture Hatum or or the rest of Sudan,  

36:56

uh they're quite happy with these little enclaves  that they carve out for themselves that nobody can   seize and that they can defend. And they use this  as a bargaining chip. That's not the Saudi way.  

37:05

That's not the the Gulf way. the Gulfies want,  you know, they they want to maintain sovereignty,   territorial integrity of these states. Uh, and so  that's where the friction comes from, particularly  

37:15

when what the Emiratis are doing comes at the  expense of the Saudi position. So in Sudan,   it comes very much at the expense of a united  Sudan and a a stable Sudan. It comes in Yemen at  

37:25

the expense of Saudi interest because the Saudis  are the ones who are stuck in the conflict in the   north against the Houthis. um why the Emiratis are  carving out their own little sphere of influence  

37:33

in the south without actually supporting uh the  Saudis. And so what's interesting now in Sudan  

37:38

over the last couple of weeks, we've seen a lot of  the influences, Saudi influences, Saudi discourse   becoming very very openly critical of the UAE,  which is also a first directly attacking and  

37:47

calling the Emiratis out. That shows you that  is obviously government sponsored or backed or   authorized, if you will. Um but it shows where the  Saudis stand on this. They're absolutely upset.  

37:57

I mean, you don't think that the UAE believe it  that they've overplayed their hand in in Sudan? I   mean, just the the amount of anger that that's  been generated across the world. Um, I mean,  

UAE overplayed their hand?

38:08

potentially that may have a a negative effect  on, you know, inward investment possibly or  

38:14

on on tourism. um are the you know is the UAE  aware of that or conscious of that or you you  

38:22

don't think that's really I think they are they're  more aware of it and the fact that we saw Gardash   um I think two or three weeks ago he made a  statement of saying we all make mistakes in  

38:30

Sudan was almost an admission of one a very rare  admission by the Emirat saying maybe we've been  

38:36

wrong which we've rarely heard before um but it  doesn't mean they have reversed their policy but  

38:41

it seems at least a little bit of an admission  I think they're aware of the reputational costs   they might be happy, they might be willing to  sustain the pressure and the resistance they're  

38:49

facing in Europe because they see Europe as  equals or even inferiors. Um, if that criticism,  

38:55

that pressure came from the US, I think they  would change. I think that's that's something   they can't can't sustain. I don't think there has  been any pressure on investments in the UAE and no  

39:05

pressure on tourism in the UAE. Most people are  very apolitical anyway. Um, and it's they feel I  

39:12

think I see a lot of similarities with the Israeli  position as well, right? The Israelis have learned   to sustain ongoing pressure and resistance. Um,  and you know, despite the fact that the evidence  

39:22

shows the Israelis are committing atrocities,  they're saying no, it's not happening. And it   it you know, it's still I mean, Israel is in the  end still a pariah state, but in in most people's  

39:32

eyes, but there's still enough people saying,  "Okay, yeah, there might be a pariah state where   we're happy to support them." So the Emiratis  are thinking I think they're overestimating how  

39:41

much leverage they have. I think Israel is in a  different sort of ship considering that they've   been doing this for 40 years. They built their  networks for 40 years. The Emiratis have only  

39:49

really doing been doing it for not even 20 years.  Um but I think they're just saying let's we can  

39:54

sustain this for an indefinite period. Yeah. Um  the we spoke about this briefly on the last show,  

UAE and Israel

40:00

the relationship between the UAE and Israel. um  you know that how has that relationship fared over  

40:07

the last couple of years of genocide? What is you  know how do you uh assess that relationship as it  

40:13

as it currently stands? I mean there's not much  left of that relationship to be honest. Um and  

40:18

that I mean so initi the Abraham Accords what's  the number one reason they the Amiratis engage  

40:23

in the Abram Accords is they wanted out of jail  card in the United States and they're using the   Abra and it's been extremely successful in that.  It was never about Palestine. It wasn't even about  

40:31

Israel. It wasn't like the Emirati is saying,  "Oh, we love the Israelis." It was really just a   way of getting influence in the west in pro-Israel  networks. Um, and in that respect, I think it has  

40:39

delivered. It continues to deliver and hence they  will never jeopardize this or, you know, put it   into question. Although they have used it publicly  at least of saying if you know annexation of the  

40:49

West Bank, the formal annexation we should say  because the informal one is taking place at the   moment, but the the former one would be a red line  that we you know we will not tolerate. So that was  

40:58

a and that came towards the end of well I don't  know if we're at the end of the war yet but at   least before just before we had this breakthrough  in in Gaza diplomatically they've been saying we  

41:08

put this on the line. Um they're under immense  pressure domestically. Um I think especially   people in the northern Emirates and also in  Dubai are you know very public vocal about what  

41:18

the Israelis have been doing. They've never used  this to question their own government or question   the Abram of course because that would be uh not  allowed in terms of civil societal discourse. Um  

41:26

but they've been calling out the Israelis. So  Abu Dhabi had to respond to that. They had to,   you know, open the valve a little bit to release  some of that public pressure. Um and they're  

41:36

quite happy now that there's less and less public  focus on Gaza. Um and I think that's that's true.  

41:42

Um but that relationship continues. But what we've  seen since the 7th of October is that the Emiratis   have stopped putting more money into Israel. So  the investments have stopped. Um although some  

41:52

investments obviously very sizable ones remain  in the country. M um they haven't gone up full   180 and they wouldn't uh but they basically froze  the the the relationship where it was and and why  

Emiratis on Palestine

42:04

was why is that I mean what what's the what's  the because of course you know when we look at  

42:09

um again these are all anecdotes but videos of of  people wearing you know Palestine shirts at the  

42:14

airport are told to cover up or someone wearing  a kofia are told you know either arrested or or  

42:20

or you know told to not show such an obvious sign  of Palestinian report uh that there is an overt  

42:27

antipalestine uh sentiment that's coming at least  from the authorities. So explain you know that  

42:34

with the freezing of of you know anti-Palestine  it's quite what is what is clear from a lot of  

42:42

leaked sort of um US diplomatic cables MBZ has  always you know talked about the Palestinian issue  

42:48

in a derogative way he's not a big fan right but  overall the Amiratis do side generally with the  

42:55

Palestinians not with the Israelis apart from some  influencers who are paid to become Zionist I mean   there are two or three sort of accounts that have  gone to Israel and becoming suddenly promoters of  

43:04

Israel. Um but except for you know outside of that  Emiratis are not pro- Israel. They generally sight  

43:10

with the Palestinians and there lies in there lies  the problem because the Emiratis are so scared of  

43:15

political mobilization domestically that someone  who comes into their country with a badge of pro   Palestine or Kafir or flag is potentially ringing  support around a cause that the government doesn't  

43:26

control and that is a cause that could potentially  run against government policy when it comes to the   Abram Accords. I think it's this obsession about  the Palestinian cause being a mobilizing tool that  

43:35

could be used against the regime, which I don't  think it would, but they see it as a potential   threat against the regime, means that it has to  be you, they have to clamp down on it wherever  

43:44

it starts. And why is the UAE so obsessed about  uh civil society organizations across the West?  

Civil society threat?

43:51

Um you know there is now a very heavy call in the  United States to ban the Muslim Brotherhood and  

43:56

you know and to ban organizations like and care  and you know these are very bas are very you know  

44:03

uh um that like Islamic organizations that work  within the community and do charity work. Um there  

44:10

was a poll I think that was recently published  in France which seemed to indicate that uh the  

44:15

a large section of of um of Muslim civil society  were Muslim Brotherhood supporters and a poll was  

44:22

uh supported by and paid for by the UAE and you  know so and in Britain of course you've got heavy  

44:28

lobbying uh in in you know in terms of the British  political establishment against some organizations  

44:35

here who they connect and who they claim are too  heavily connected to to the brotherhood and and of  

44:41

course this is just a claim to to to try to sort  of curry favor in these capitals like what's going   on there? What is it about uh western Muslims  that really irks I suppose it's not just western  

44:53

Muslims. So if you're scared of civil society  in general and any civil society is a potential  

44:58

threat to your regime. Yeah. um any civil society  that goes into this societal and political space,  

45:04

the Amiris are quite happy with, you know, having  people chat and talk about sports or entertainment   and sort of things that are outside the political  realm. They're not a threat to the regime. You  

45:13

talk about societal issues or political issues.  Um whether you use Islam for that or not doesn't  

45:18

really matter for them, but that's a space that  the state has to control, that Abu Dhabi has   to control. The mosque is a mobilizing tool that  nobody can control. Um and hence the mosque is has  

45:29

always been for the Emirati since 20101 at least a  major threat because that's where the Arab Spring   started. That's where the protest started. So you  have to clamp down on this. The Muslim Brotherhood  

45:38

is has become a sort of catchall phrase to  basically tarnish the reputation of every any  

45:45

single Muslim civil societal group from you know  charities to you whatever education to say okay  

45:51

these guys Muslim Brotherhood equals terrorism.  Uh it's a broad brush. I think in 2014 they  

45:57

were fairly successful with you injecting that  discourse into into the CVE debate in this country  

46:03

um in the civil countering violent extremism one.  But I think it has run its course. Most people   don't uh respond to it anymore also because  the the Israelis have been using the Muslim  

46:13

Brotherhood trope against Muslim civil society.  They see Muslim civil society equally as a threat.   So they have been using it, abusing it, especially  when they said you're Hamas and this person is  

46:23

Hamas. We're all Hamas. They're all Hamas. Um,  the Emirati are a little bit like this as well,   but it becomes almost, you know, it's it's a  joke now where everyone is now suddenly a Muslim  

46:31

brother. I mean, they've been there's been this  scandal in 2023 where the Emirati allegedly paid a  

46:37

um a firm somewhere in Switzerland and whatnot to  to tarnish the reputation of journalists and and   and academics and and civil societal leaders as  being Muslim brothers. And many of them weren't  

46:47

even Muslim. um you know and had a lifestyle  that was certainly not in keeping with the more   you know socially conservative part of the Muslim  Brotherhood. So it's irrelevant now. It has the  

46:56

Muslim Brotherhood is an organization that existed  in Egypt as the Muslim Brotherhood. And when you  

47:01

ask them about it because I would make the claim  that the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt has been   degraded. It no longer exists. It's not a threat  to the regime anymore. Um networks exist of people  

47:10

who might be intellectually affiliated with the  Muslim Brotherhood. They might exist anywhere. Um   but does that make them Muslim brothers? And and  why is that even a problem? The narrative that the  

47:19

Emiratists have is they use this one element of  the Muslim Brotherhood which is the um they they  

47:25

completely ignore Hassan Albana in these sort  of da based part of of the Muslim Brotherhood   and go directly into the takiri sort of approach  that Kutub advocated for. So and there basically  

47:37

saying Kutub is a terrorist all of the jihadists  go back to Kutub. So Kutub was a Muslim brother.   So basically the Muslim brotherhood is linked to  ISIS and al-Qaeda. It's a quite of an intellectual  

47:46

split that they're making there which is a kind of  vague has been debunked by by academics and by by  

47:53

theorists and by Islamic scholars. And so it's  it's they're preaching that to their own echo  

47:58

chamber. The Israeli networks are quite happy  to pick it up because it serves their narrative   as well. But it doesn't really have a lot of  traction. uh on our in our last conversation  

Whitewashing atrocities

48:08

uh we spoke very again it was very briefly about  uh the way in which uh the Abu Dhabi weaponizes  

48:16

religion it's not just an anti- relligion there  is a weaponization of in particular Sufism you  

48:22

know and and a lot of the people in the comments  said well where's the proof of that where's the   evidence of that and I don't know if you've got  I mean you may not want to comment on individuals  

48:31

but Abdullah bin Ba is someone that at least I've  come across who, you know, who runs or at least  

48:36

is is is um um very much spearhead in this sort  of idea that uh Abu Dhabi and uh that the UAE is  

48:45

a is a bastion of tolerance and peace across the  world. C can you speak to that? Like what what is  

48:51

uh how useful are these actors in whitewashing I  suppose um you know the UAE's atrocities abroad?  

49:01

Now there's so if you look at the the fatwa  council in the UAE and those people who are there   they usually propagate a quietest Islam. Yeah.  Quietest in the way as that there they're saying  

49:12

you know let the ruler get on with politics and  societal affairs. We are there we talk only about  

49:17

religious affairs and theology which is separate  from the state. This clear separation. The idea  

49:22

of the wal I think we discussed last time. Yeah.  Um this this is a powerful tool because you can  

49:28

basically tell people stay out of politics because  you can be a very good Muslim and not talk about  

49:33

politics and societal issues. Um and we give you  this is this is the kind of religious theological  

49:39

legitimacy to to do so and you're basically  it's a tool to demobilize civil society and  

49:45

also legitimize the suppression of civil society  and by the way not just Muslim civil society any  

49:50

sort of civil society. Um and it's a very powerful  tool and you know uh I don't think Sufis per se  

49:56

obviously they don't want to be instrumentalized  in that way but Sufism has been instrumentalized   by the Emirati to kind of create that narrative  um of of pushing back and then what is more I  

50:06

don't know if we talked about it last time but  what is more problematic is the Matali Matab  

50:12

um so the Matali you know come out it's not even  a Matab it's a it's a sort of very small school of  

50:18

uh of of originally coming from Saudi Arabia and  and they are very very radical quietest Sufis  

50:26

where they're saying you know we actually we have  to blindly follow the the the lord of the land  

50:32

whoever that might be whether it's the regime  in Saudi or in in the UAE or Khalifa in Libya  

50:38

or whatnot and blindly following you're creating  basically a Muslim a dedicated group of Muslims  

50:45

who follow the leader um blindly into battle  this even when the Muslim leader is committing  

50:50

atrocities and goes against uh you know any sort  of Islamic value. Um and they're fundamentalist in  

50:57

that way and why they become so they they've  they've appeared in Libya in particular in   the in the postrevolutionary uh environment in  eastern Libya. They've become some of them the  

51:06

pritorian guard if you will of of um and they've  basically said okay you're Islamist you're Muslim  

51:15

you're looking for Muslim mobilization  to make sense of the political or social   political atrocities around you we'll give you  a great sort of narrative for that and this is  

51:24

your narrative you can mobilize as Muslims but  you're doing this bllightly following the lord   of the land which in your case is khalifa and  so it's become a tool to legitimize and enable  

51:35

uh repression and enable these sort of political  military strongmen. One final question for you  

Pushback from Emiratis?

51:40

Andreas Creek. I mean do you feel that because  you speak very openly against uh the Emiratis and  

51:46

what they do in you know these these places last  the last conversation we had you talked about the   access of secessionists and and just this network  that they've created across the world. I mean have  

51:57

you had any push back from the Emirati? Like do  you feel is it is there a heat on you for for  

52:03

um for raising raising obvious I'm I'm quite  happy to be challenged on on on any of that  

52:09

especially you know in on social media and so  on you get you get commentary uh you know people  

52:14

you mostly these are the kind of pro- regime bots  and trolls that don't really have any analytical  

52:19

ammunition to really counter any of that. Um what  is fascinating it's it's not about tarnishing the  

52:26

the Amiratis. I mean like I said I have quite a  lot of uh admiration for how they did it. It's  

52:31

quite fascinating as a case study and as a scholar  who looks at international relations and state   craft and strategy. It's an immensely powerful  and interesting case study. Um the question is  

52:42

and I I what I do understand here as well is  why the Amiratis are doing it and it serves   their national interest. I think any government  should be advancing their national interest. But  

52:51

what I don't understand is that the Emiratis  are doing it even when there is a resistance  

52:56

that they don't have the sort of flexibility,  the pragmatism to adjust their course when they  

53:01

see they've gone wrong and admitting that they've  gone wrong. Like I said, you could make the claim   the countries have uh have, you know, had that  sort of epiphany as well during their during  

53:11

the Arab Spring. They were supporting a variety  of different non-state actors. They realized it   didn't go anywhere. They backed down. They even  had changed their government and you know had a  

53:18

new amir coming in clean sheet changing their  stake learning their lesson and moving on.   The Saudis like said also learned their lesson  in Yemen realizing it didn't go anywhere. NBS  

53:29

learned I think learned some of the lessons of  what happened of the Kashukji killing and murder   and the fallout of that and again adjusted cause  with the Amiratis they've never done it. They've  

53:38

never adjusted their cause because they think  they can sustain it. And what I don't understand   is here is a country that has developed immense  power and influence in the world. Why are they  

53:46

not using it for something good? Why are they  not using their indispensable role in Libya,   in Yemen, in Sudan, in Somalia, to actually work  for a constructive uh multi, you know, for for a  

53:58

for for a solution constructively that works for  everyone, for locals, most importantly, obviously,  

54:04

uh but also get the backing of the international  community. um and not always push back when you're   being called out and uh obviously the attack thing  especially you know when people are being attacked  

54:14

oh you're Muslim Brotherhood because you say this  or you know you're financed by this country or   that country because you're criticizing us instead  of having the maturity of engaging in a discourse  

54:23

um because I think there's quite a lot to learn  and the artists can be proud of their leadership   in some respect in terms of what they have  achieved and how they generate power and influence  

54:31

um but they need to be also be made aware of  where they've gone wrong and the problem is a   lot of the scholarship is too scared because the  MROS are extremely coercive in that way right they  

54:39

use any form of uh you know putting pressure on  you on the institution on you know in the public  

54:45

domain as well um where you know I think once you  get to a point where that pressure is mounting a  

54:51

lot of people backing down and saying you know  what's what's in it for me I've been looking at   the UEE now for the last you know over a decade  and you know it's a fascinating case study and I  

55:01

will continue looking at into it but unfortunately  a lot of that scholarship who looks at the UEE has   moved away from it because they're too scared  to say something wrong. So they're looking at  

55:09

the the fuzzy uh you know uh bits of of what is  what the UAE are doing without actually looking  

55:15

at their intellectual philosophical thinking  but not looking at how they do it. And that's   I think the aspect that most people shy away  from because in the formal domain the UAE as  

55:24

I said use their formal uh organizations usually  for for good ends most of the time but it's the  

55:30

informal networks under the table that are now  coming ever more to the surface that need to be   studied as well. Grace Greek thank you so much.  Thank you so much for your time today. Thank you  

55:39

for having me. Thank you. Asalam alaikum. Now,  you've reached the end of this show, and the  

55:44

fact that you've stayed until the very end tells  me that you truly believe in our work. Please   consider making a one-off donation or becoming a  member by visiting thinkingmuslim.com/membership.

55:56

Now, your contributions give you  exclusive behind-the-scenes access   and the ability to ask questions to our  guests and monthly calls with myself,  

56:04

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